Hickenlooper and Gardner run low-visibility campaigns in high-stakes Senate race
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The pandemic has made for a duller campaign season across the board — dominated by paid media and Zoom sessions — but that’s especially true in the all-important U.S. Senate race between Democrat John Hickenlooper and Republican incumbent Cory Gardner, according to a dozen political scientists and veteran Colorado politicos.
People with knowledge of the campaigns say this is very much by design, and that the two men have distinct reasons for playing this race safe. For Hickenlooper, the consensus is that he’s not taking any risks because, one, he has consistently led Gardner in polls — though some polls show the margin tightening — and, two, he’s gaffe-prone.
Gardner faces what may be an insurmountable challenge: retaining the Donald Trump base to which he long ago allied himself while also attracting independent voters who overwhelmingly disapprove of the president. It’s difficult to satisfy one group without rankling the other, and the upshot is frequently silence, or a paid advertisement.
The two have appeared in zero combined candidate events to date. Only recently did the two campaigns agree to televised debates, to be held Oct. 9 and Oct. 13.
Wendy Schiller, professor and chair of political science at Brown University, has examined Senate contests across the country, and she says Colorado’s stands out nationally for how low-key and scripted it’s been.
“I think it’s unusual,” she said, “and I don’t think it’s emblematic of most of the really contested races.”
Pueblo Democrat Sal Pace, a former Colorado House minority leader, served in the legislature with Gardner while Hickenlooper was governor, and he knows both men well. He said the COVID effect on campaigns has been profound, and that the dullness of the race make sense.
“In the case of Hickenlooper, he’s seen the polling and he knows that (Joe) Biden’s going to win Colorado. It’s in his campaign’s best interest to ride the blue wave that Colorado’s going to be in in 2020. … When you’ve got the wind at your back, you’re typically fine with people voting along party ID,” Pace said.
“Gardner has a little more of a complex problem, because he can’t ride Trump’s coattails to a win in Colorado. He’s working on both ends, trying to solidify his support amongst Trump voters so that they vote all the way down the ticket for him, while simultaneously trying to win over more of the independents than John Hickenlooper. He needs to win over more ticket-splitters.”
Both men are known for being skilled retail politicians, at their respective bests when chatting up strangers and small groups. That’s what each has mostly stuck to in this campaign, but the pandemic presents fewer opportunities for those kinds of interactions. Hickenlooper’s general election approach — to invite select local reporters and then tweet after the fact about how he was out meeting people — has coincidentally been Gardner’s preferred approach. On his official social media accounts, Gardner routinely shares pictures of himself on small-town Main Streets or articles from small papers that he gave interviews to.
Neither candidate is followed consistently by any semblance of a press corps, primarily because their campaigns are highly selective about how and to whom they advertise campaign stops, even though many of those stops are outdoors or in other settings that allow for social distancing.
The lack of scheduling notice also means fewer chances for “trackers” — people assigned by the opposition to video a candidate in hopes of collecting dirt — to keep their eyes on either Gardner or Hickenlooper.
Spokespeople for Gardner declined to respond to multiple interview requests for this story. Hickenlooper spoke with The Denver Post, laughing off the suggestion that he’s running a cautious, scripted campaign.
“It’s sort of like when you go outside when there’s been a heavy snow. Every sound is muted, it doesn’t seem as loud. And with the pandemic, it is hard to get people’s attention,” he said. “I don’t think it’s boring. It just doesn’t — because of COVID, it doesn’t have the same volume.”
The stakes couldn’t be higher in this race. Democrats need to net four seats to take control of the Senate, gaining the ability to confirm or block presidential judicial appointments along with more control over legislation.
Hickenlooper said he won’t let himself dwell on the enormity of it all.
“There is pressure. I don’t really feel it,” he said.
“When I walk through King Soopers, I get people all the time saying, ‘Go get ’em, Hick! More than any campaign I’ve been on, people are encouraging me wherever I go.”
While the candidate may attest to his supporters’ enthusiasm, those interviewed by The Post aren’t seeing it. Most Colorado political observers declined to speak on the record, but Brown professor Schiller said Hickenlooper’s campaign “looks like complacency. It looks like Hillary Clinton in 2016. And I think it’s a mistake.”
“For Hickenlooper,” she added, “I think it’s a mistake to stay so scripted, because he misses the opportunity to ride the wave of Democratic enthusiasm in 2020. I think enthusiasm beats everything else, and if Joe Biden loses this race against Donald Trump, it’s because he stayed inside too long. For Gardner, he could be lifted back into the Senate by Trump enthusiasts who get out the door.”
Gardner’s cautious campaign is smart, Schiller said.
“If he can hang onto those Trump votes, it’s probably a better strategy for him than it is for Hickenlooper.”
Justin Wingerter contributed to this report
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BR 01, DRG
(BTTB 2120)
BR 23 1003, DR
(Zeuke 159 / 77,
545 / 77) BR 23 1111, DR
(BTTB 2110)
BR 23, DR
(BTTB, aus "Touristen Express"-Set))
br35_1111
BR 35 1111-0, DR
(BTTB 2110)
br56
BR 56 2719, DR
(BTTB 2230) G 8.2, Nr. 2721, KPEV
(BTTB 2231)
br81_013dr_zeuke_schw_rahmen br81_001rt_rahmen_plast br81_004
BR 81 013, DR
(Zeuke 159 / 51,
545 / 51) BR 81 001, DR
(BTTB 2210)
BR 81 004, DRG
(BTTB 2210)
BR 81 004, DB
(BTTB 2211)
BR 81, DR
vereinfachte Steuerung
(Zeuke 159 / 78)
br86_1615_3 br86_460
BR 86 1615-5, DR
(BTTB 2240) BR 86 460, DRG
(BTTB 2242) BR 86 173, DB
(BTTB 2241) Reihe 455, CSD
(BTTB 2244)
br 92 zeuke br 92_6582 bttb_rt_rahmen br92
BR 92 6582, DR
(Zeuke 545 / 494) BR 92 6582, DR
(BTTB 2220) BR 92 als Privatbahn (BTTB
(BTTB, aus Start-Set) BR 92 als Nord-Belge (BTTB, aus Start-Set)
start_tenderlok_schw.jpg (41542 Byte)
2achsige Tenderlok, schwarz
(BTTB, aus Start-Set) 2achsige Tenderlok, grün
(BTTB, aus Start-Set)
v36_071grau v36_071dr_gn
V 36 071, DR, grau
(Zeuke 545 / 23,
BTTB 2631) V 36 071, DR, grün
(Zeuke 545 / 22)
V 36 021, DR, grün
(BTTB 2630)
BR 103 021-2, DR, grün
(BTTB 2630)
br103gelb.jpg (62757 Byte) v36_265db_rt.jpg (56714 Byte)
BR 103 033-7, DR, gelb
(BTTB 2631) V 36 255, DB, rot
(BTTB 2632) V 36, DB, schwarz
(BTTB) Y 50, SNCF, grün
(BTTB 2634)
zeuke_v75 zeuke_t435
V 75 001, 1. Ausführung
DR, rot
(Zeuke 545 / 53) T 435 001,
1. Ausführung
CSD, blau,
weißes Geländer
(Zeuke 545 / 52)
br107_001_0 t435 t435
BR 107 001-0, DR, rot
(BTTB 2620)
T 435 001, CSD, blau
schwarzes Geländer
(BTTB 2621) T 435 040, CSD, blau
weißes Geländer
(BTTB 2621)
ym32_125
YM 32-205 , SZD, grün
(BTTB 2622) YM 32-125; SZD, grün
(BTTB 2622)
br110 br110_156 gelb br212_176_2db_rt
BR 110 034-7, DR, rot
(BTTB 2540) BR 110 156-7, DR, gelb
(BTTB 2545) BR 211 167-2, DB, blau
(BTTB 2546) BR 212 176-2, DB, rot
(BTTB 2547)
v180_146 br118_114_8
V180 160, DR
rot / elfenbein
(Zeuke 545 / 750) V 180 146, DR
rot / elfenbein
(BTTB 2520) BR 118 146-0, DR
rot / creme
(BTTB 2522) BR 118 114-8, DR
rot / creme
(BTTB 2522)
BR 119 120-4, DR
(BTTB 2521)
br130dr
BR 130 007-8, DR
(BTTB 2640) T 679, CSD
(BTTB 2641)
br221rot br221_137_3blau_beige v200ic_rt_beige_rt
V 200 139, DB
rot / grau
(Zeuke 159 / 76,
545 / 26)
BR 221 139-9, DB
rot / silbergrau
(BTTB 2510)
BR 221 137-5, DB
blau / beige
(BTTB 2511)
BR 221, DB
rot / beige
(BTTB 2512)
v200 cccp v200 silverlines
V 200 "CCCP"
silber / rot
(Zeuke ) V 200 "Silver Lines"
silber / blau
(Zeuke ) V 200
braun
(Zeuke, aus Start-Set) V 200, SJ
braun
(BTTB, aus Start-Set)
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T 334, CSD, rot
(Zeuke 545 / 502) T 334 0508, CSD, blau
(Zeuke 545 / 501) T 334, CSD, grün / weiß
(BTTB 2610) MH, DSB, grün
(Zeuke 545 / 503)
t334gn_elf_start2a
T 334, 2achsig
blau / creme
(Zeuke (, aus Start-Set) T 334, 2achsig
grün / elfenbein
(Zeuke
(BTTB, aus Start-Set)
noab_mav_neu noab_dsb_bttb noab_sncb
M 61 001, MAV, weinrot
(Zeuke 545 / 9,
BTTB 2532) M 61 019, MAV, rot
(BTTB 2532)
My 1125, DSB, weinrot
(Zeuke 545 / 8,
BTTB 2531) R 202 003, SNCB, grün
(BTTB 2533)
start_taigatrommel
2achsige Diesellok
ähnlich DR-BR 120, rot
(BTTB, aus Start-Set) 2achsige Diesellok
ähnlich DR-BR 120, grün
(BTTB, aus Start-Set)
vt2_09_dach_beige
VT 2.09.070
Dach beige
(Zeuke)
Beiwagen VB 02,
Dach beige
(Zeuke)
VT 2.09.070 + VB,
Dach grau
(Zeuke 545 / 1,
BTTB 2810) Beiwagen VB 02,
Dach grau
(Zeuke ,
BTTB 2812)
br171_vb vb171
BR 171 018-5
Dach grau
(BTTB 2810) Beiwagen BR 171 824-6,
Dach grau
(BTTB 2812)
transius_rt_ws_2tlg
SVT "Courier", 2teilig
rot / weiß
(Zeuke) SVT "Courier", 2teilig
weiß / rot
(Zeuke) SVT "Courier", 2teilig
weiß / blau
(Zeuke 545 / 34)
Die Diesel-Schnelltriebwagen Elektro-Triebzug Fahrtrafo
SVT "Intourex", 3teilig
weiß / blau
(Zeuke 545 / 37)
ET "Transitus", 3teilig, weiß / blau
(Zeuke 545 / 35) ET "Transitus", 3teilig, grün / gelb
(Zeuke 545 / 35)
Mittelwagen für "Courier", Transitus", "Intourex";
rot / weiß
(Zeuke) Mittelwagen für "Courier", Transitus", "Intourex";
weiß / blau
(Zeuke) Mittelwagen für "Courier", Transitus", "Intourex"
weiß / rot
(Zeuke) Mittelwagen für "Courier", Transitus", "Intourex"; grün / gelb
(Zeuke)
e11_022dach_beige.jpg (55398 Byte) e11_022rt.jpg (64664 Byte)
E 11 022, DR
grün, Dach beige
(Zeuke 545 / 754)
E 11 015, DR
grün, Dach grau
(Zeuke 545 / 754,
BTTB) E 11 022, DR
rot
(Zeuke / BTTB 2322)
BR 211 018-7, DR
rot
(BTTB 2322)
e42_018
E 42, DR,
grün, Dach beige
(Zeuke 545 / 755) E 42 018, DR
grün, Dach grau
(Zeuke 545 / 755,
BTTB 2321) BR 242 020-6, DR
grün, Dach grau
(BTTB 2321) BR 242 018-2, DR
grün, Dach grau
(BTTB 2321)
E 70 01, DR, braun
(Zeuke / Herr 545 / 25, 545 / 2 / 2)
E 70 01, DR, grün
beschriftet
(Zeuke / Herr 545 / 24) E 70, DR, grün,
unbeschriftet
(Zeuke / Herr) E 70 01, DR, grau
(Zeuke / Herr)
e94zeuke br254_065_6 br194db
E 94 065, DR, grün
(Zeuke 545 / 751) BR 254 065-6, DR, grün
(BTTB 2410) BR 194 178-0, DB, blau
(BTTB 2411) Reihe 1020 020, ÖBB, rot
(BTTB 2412)
br250
BR 250 112-0, DR, bordeauxrot
(BTTB 2330) BR 250 245-8, DR, hellrot
(BTTB 2331)
e499blau_bttb e499g e499 szd
E 499 035, CSD
blau / elfenbein
(Zeuke 545 / 20,
Zeuke 545 / 752 / 1,
BTTB 2312) E 499 035, CSD
grün / elfenbein
(Zeuke 545 / 21,
Zeuke 545 / 752 / 2
BTTB 2311) YC 1-003, SZD, grün
(BTTB 2313)
E 499, SJ, rotorange
(BTTB)
start_e_lok_blau start_e_lok_gn
2achsige E-Lok
CC 7200, SNCF,
blau mit silberner Zierleiste
(BTTB, aus Start-Set) 2achsige E-Lok
CC 7200, SNCF,
blau ohne Zierleiste
(BTTB, aus Start-Set)
2achsige E-Lok
CC 7200, SNCF,
grün
(BTTB, aus Start-Set)
2achsige E-Lok
CC 7200, SNCF,
hellgrau / gelb als NS-Lok
(BTTB, aus Start-Set)
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