Whatever it took, the NFL kept playing this season, determined to get through its schedule amid the coronavirus pandemic.
Making the Broncos play a game without a quarterback. Check.
Playing a game on Wednesday afternoon. Check.
Constantly adjusting the schedule. Check.
Now, with a week left in the regular season, it appears the NFL will achieve its objective, a full regular season, no matter the obstacles. In the NFL, the show must go on, right or wrong, as it has throughout history, during the Great Depression, World War II, the assassination of President Kennedy, 9–11, Hurricane Katrina, and now a worldwide pandemic.
The season was largely a TV show, with a majority of games held without fans, but also one that still drew millions of eyeballs every Sunday — and sometimes even on a Tuesday.
“For those three hours, or if people watch a couple of games (on a Sunday), it does help because life does feel normal,” Broncos coach Vic Fangio said. “But by no means does it wipe out the seriousness of the situation and the predicament we’re in with this virus.”
Having that escape every week can mean more now than ever, said Cindy Carney, a longtime season-ticket holder, and nurse at Porter Hospice Rescue. She sees it up close with her patients.
“In this world right now, with the racial and political division and, of course, the pandemic, the Broncos can be a place to find union,” Carney said. “I see that happen through the grief of (my patients) every day and every Sunday because that gets them through the week. That game still brings them together with other people.
“People take more out of the community that comes with cheering for the team than the winning and the losing, especially at a time like this.”
The financial hit delivered by the pandemic has been substantial to the league but has caused less devastation relative to other professional sports due to the NFL’s enormous TV contracts, and determination to play every game. A year ago, each of the 32 NFL teams pocketed a record $296 million in national revenue, most of it from TV deals. (Green Bay, the only franchise required to divulge its finances as the league’s only publicly owned team, also generated $210.9 million in local revenues).
Not having fans in the stands has a cost, especially for teams with a devoted fan base like the Broncos, who boast a league record 415-game sellout streak. Not having the gate receipts likely means the 2021 salary cap will stay flat or decrease from the 2020 cap of $198.2 million, which would be a first since the cap was instituted in 1994. In turn, that will likely result in more teams taking a more conservative approach to signing free agents.
The NFL will take an estimated $2.8 billion loss in game-day revenues this year, according to the 2020 NFL Fan Cost Index.
“Obviously without fans in the stands, revenue’s going to come down,” explains Adewale Ogunleye, a former NFL player and the head of sports and entertainment at UBS. “And once the numbers come out, I’m sure jersey sales and all this other (merchandise) has probably gone down. What all that’s going to effect going forward is future (collective bargaining agreements), and the money that teams are going to have under the collective bargaining agreement.”
So, while there will be some fiscal tightening, neither the NFL nor the Broncos are in dire financial straits. But, monetary ramifications are going to start to be more clearly seen — and felt — during the offseason.
“You’re going to see big deals — you’re going to have to pay people — but you’re going to see a tightening of the wallet in other places that you haven’t before,” Ogunleye said. “You’ll start to see some of the second- and third-tier players not get these big deals, just because the (majority) of the money will have to go to the stars, so the second- and third-tier players will maybe see a stagnation of salaries going up.”
As for the NFL’s TV ratings, they have moderately declined overall this season. But Tag Garson, senior vice president of the Wasserman Media Group, a top sports marketing firm, doesn’t believe the league has reason to worry long-term.
“It still is the most popular television sport in this country by far,” Garson said. “And its ratings are consistently some of the highest ratings on television as a whole when you also consider entertainment programming.
“So while ratings may be down, we have to keep everything in context… We’ve been dealing with a pandemic, we’ve been engaged in an election for the presidency, and you’ve also had to play some games when you generally wouldn’t be playing them. There are a lot of factors that go into a ratings dip, that certainly may not be a factor next season, especially if we can assume the country will be significantly vaccinated by the summer of next year and fans can come back and sell out stadiums.”
Carney welcomes that, and offers perhaps the best perspective on her beloved Broncos, who have disappointed her with a fourth consecutive losing season, but provide much more than wins and losses. (She is, though, still irritated the NFL left the Broncos no option but to play a wide receiver at quarterback earlier this season due to their COVID-19 violations).
“Minus the no quarterback thing — which really makes me mad by the way — getting to have a season during the pandemic takes the love of football to another level. There’s no getting irritated at one play.”