Nate Silver’s analysis of Biden’s Electoral College chances renews calls to repeal it altogether

Nate Silver's analysis of Biden's Electoral College chances renews calls to repeal it altogetherDemo­c­ra­t­ic pres­i­den­tial nom­i­nee Joe Biden could earn an even big­ger pop­u­lar vote mar­gin than Hillary Clin­ton did in 2016 and still lose to Pres­i­dent Trump.That’s the real­i­ty FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Sil­ver revealed in a Wednes­day tweet, in which he showed how win­ning the pop­u­lar vote would affect Biden’s chances of win­ning the Elec­toral Col­lege. Silver’s analy­sis showed Biden needs a very sol­id pop­u­lar vote just to have a good chance of win­ning, once again renew­ing argu­ments against the Elec­toral College’s entire existence.The New York Times’ Jamelle Bouie took a con­sti­tu­tion­al approach to his thread tear­ing apart the Elec­toral Col­lege.> my stat­ed posi­tion on the framers and the elec­toral col­lege is that “intent” does­n’t real­ly fac­tor into it and that the EC was a last-minute kludge by exhaust­ed del­e­gates meant to guar­an­tee the elec­tion of george wash­ing­ton and noth­ing else.> > — b‑boy bouiebaisse (@jbouie) Sep­tem­ber 2, 2020MSNBC’s Chris Hayes fore­cast a dark future if the sys­tem was­n’t abol­ished.> Wild­ly per­verse and utter­ly inde­fen­si­ble sys­tem that will soon­er or lat­er lead to deep cri­sis if not changed. https://t.co/nYZ0FKwtHw> > — Chris Hayes (@chrislhayes) Sep­tem­ber 2, 2020And The New Yorker’s Evan Osnos argued the Elec­toral Col­lege does­n’t exact­ly fit into America’s vision of democ­ra­cy.> If I read about this sys­tem in, say, Turk­menistan, I’d pity them. https://t.co/mdQV07THrj> > — Evan Osnos (@eosnos) Sep­tem­ber 2, 2020Silver’s analy­sis stems from the fact that Biden will like­ly pull big mar­gins of vic­to­ry in states that are already solid­ly blue, as well as the fact that the win­ner of most states’ pop­u­lar votes get all their Elec­toral votes no mat­ter how close that pop­u­lar mar­gin was.More sto­ries from theweek.com 7 scathing car­toons about Trump’s divi­sive Kenosha response Attor­ney Gen­er­al Barr won’t agree it’s ille­gal to vote twice, as Trump urged, claims igno­rance of state laws 3 for­mer GOP gov­er­nors, includ­ing Michigan’s Rick Sny­der, endorse Biden


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