Here’s why the AP hasn’t called Georgia’s close race

WASHINGTON — Tens of thou­sands of still-uncount­ed bal­lots — many in coun­ties where Demo­c­rat Joe Biden was in the lead — are what’s mak­ing the Geor­gia con­test between Pres­i­dent Don­ald Trump and Biden too ear­ly to call.

Trump and Biden were locked in a tight con­test Thurs­day to secure the 270 elec­toral votes need­ed to win the pres­i­den­cy. Geor­gia is a must-win state for Trump, who has a nar­row­er path to vic­to­ry than Biden.

Trump pre­ma­ture­ly declared he was win­ning it ear­ly Wednes­day morn­ing. Yet by ear­ly Fri­day Biden had over­tak­en him by more than 900 votes.

THE DETAILS

The sec­re­tary of state’s office said Thurs­day that 18,936 absen­tee bal­lots still need­ed to be count­ed in sev­en counties.

That did not include pro­vi­sion­al bal­lots and absen­tee bal­lots that have to be “cured” before being scanned. Bal­lots cast before Elec­tion Day by mil­i­tary vot­ers and cit­i­zens liv­ing over­seas and received by 5 p.m. Fri­day also will be tallied.

Addi­tion­al­ly, Biden’s vote mar­gins grew after a hand­ful of rur­al pro-Trump coun­ties processed mail bal­lots cast in his favor, an analy­sis by the AP showed.

There is a poten­tial that the race could go to a recount. Under Geor­gia law, if the mar­gin between Biden and Trump is under half a per­cent­age point of dif­fer­ence, a recount can be requested.

GEORGIA’S POLITICAL PROFILE

Geor­gia has long been a Repub­li­can strong­hold. Vot­ers there haven’t swung for a Demo­c­ra­t­ic pres­i­den­tial can­di­date since Bill Clin­ton in 1992. Trump beat Hillary Clin­ton there by 5 per­cent­age points in 2016. And the state’s gov­ern­ment is dom­i­nat­ed by the GOP.

But the party’s grip has loos­ened. As old­er, white, Repub­li­can-lean­ing vot­ers die, they are being replaced by younger and more racial­ly diverse cast of peo­ple, many of whom moved to the boom­ing Atlanta area from oth­er states — and brought their pol­i­tics with them.

Over­all, demo­graph­ic trends show that the state’s elec­torate is becom­ing younger and more diverse each year. Like oth­er metro areas, Atlanta’s sub­urbs have also moved away from Repub­li­cans. In 2016, Hillary Clin­ton flipped both Cobb and Gwin­nett coun­ties, where Biden is cur­rent­ly leading.

In 2018, Demo­c­rat Stacey Abrams gal­va­nized Black vot­ers in her bid to become the country’s first African Amer­i­can woman to lead a state, a cam­paign she nar­row­ly lost.

Many polit­i­cal ana­lysts say it’s not a ques­tion of if, but rather when Geor­gia becomes a swing state.

That much was clear in the clos­ing weeks of the cam­paign as Biden, his run­ning mate. Sen. Kamala Har­ris, and for­mer Pres­i­dent Barack Oba­ma barn­stormed the state. Trump, too, vis­it­ed the state to play defense.

(Vis­it­ed 1 times, 1 vis­its today)



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