An unfiltered test of the US presidential candidates should be the first TV duel. The influence of the debates on the elections is unclear. But it could still unmask a lot. Some are already telling Donald Trump’s presidency very briefly: impeachment, corona, supreme court judges, possibly his tax documents, the next please. But his story is not that simple and it will not end either. Trump should ensure that in Cleveland, among other places, when he meets his Democratic challenger Joe Biden in the first TV duel on Wednesday night. It will not be so much about content, but about whether Biden can actually keep what he promises: to be a reliable alternative to Trump. Trump’s chances of increasing his chances of winning the election are diminishing and time is running out. The first TV duel begins at 3 a.m. German time, lasts one and a half hours and should provide important information for the remaining US election weeks. Does Trump act differently than usual? Could he run out of arguments in the face of the crisis? What character is Biden playing? Does the Democrat hold up, or does he mess too much without a teleprompter and appear too weak or even “sleepy”, as Trump repeatedly mocks him? Even in the debates among the Democratic applicants, Biden had not always cut the best figure.

These disputes are major television events that usually only the Super Bowl can reach. Both have the fascination that their outcome is only partially predictable. In past election campaigns, the first debates received the most attention. This time, TV broadcasters expect around 100 million viewers nationally, compared with 84 million in 2016. Almost three quarters of all registered voters say they wanted to tune into the duel between the two candidates. There should be a total of three of these shows, each with the lead journalist from a different broadcaster. The US presidential debates, There are three duels between Donald Trump and Joe Biden and one of the runners-up Mike Pence and Kamala Harris. All start at 3 a.m. German time and should last 90 minutes.

The election will take place on November 3rd.

Will that affect the choice? If you believe the pollsters, only to a very limited extent: In the same poll by Monmouth University, only three percent of voters say the debate will very likely influence their decision on November 3rd. Ten percent say there is at least a certain probability of it. In another poll, 44 percent of voters said they were simply puffed up on the debate. This fits in with other statistics that very few of them are actual swap voters. Most Americans feel attached to either party.

Different perceptions

After the moderator’s questions, the two candidates each have two minutes to comment. “A Tolstoy period by the standards of news television,” writes the New York Times. Fox News’ Chris Wallace will lead the first duel: “My job is to be as invisible as possible,” said the host of the conservative broadcaster. Four years ago, Wallace was widely praised for leading the Trump-Hillary Clinton debate. According to US broadcasters, the duels should be an “unfiltered test” for quick-wittedness, stability and ability to convince the electorate. Natural, which can be a huge benefit for him. At the same time, the president is known for throwing around half-truths or accusations, which his counterpart then has to grapple with and which some might find repulsive. The moderator will be careful not to conduct fact checks, which could be an advantage for Trump.v At Trump’s appearances against Clinton, for example, he spoke simply, his opponent threw numbers around like a technocrat. The US media then declared Clinton the winner of the debates. Trump still won the election. The entrepreneur had hit a nerve with enough voters by portraying his opponent as a representative of the political establishment in Washington, which for decades had trampled the interests of US citizens with bad trade deals, too much immigration and the controversial Obamacare health insurance system.

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