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New bubble, new crash? — Bitcoin has grown up


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The total val­ue of all has jumped to a record high. The price shoots up like did at the height of the hype three years ago. But the mar­ket for dig­i­tal cur­ren­cy has changed. ’s a déjà vu. The Bit­coin price shoots up again at a dizzy­ing speed. In the spring, the lead­ing dig­i­tal cur­ren­cy was worth less than ,000 US dol­lars; today it is well over 18,000 euros. Bit­coin is still a few hun­dred dol­lars away from the record price a good three years ago. Since more of the dig­i­tal coins now exist, the mar­ket cap­i­tal­iza­tion, the arith­meti­cal total val­ue of all exist­ing Bit­coin, has already exceed­ed its high­est lev­el at the of 338 bil­lion dol­lars. But will it con­tin­ue after the ral­ly as it did at the end of 2017, when a bub­ble burst that some described as the largest of its kind in finan­cial his­to­ry? Some observers assume exact­ly that. “Fomo buy­ers have tak­en over the mar­ket,” tweet­ed Bit­coin ana­lyst Kevin Sven­son a few days ago. After a peri­od of exu­ber­ance, there will be a strong cor­rec­tion when such short-term ori­ent­ed buy­ers, who are dri­ven by fear of miss­ing out (Fomo, Fear of miss­ing out), throw their Bit­coin back on the mar­ket. This , how­ev­er, some things are dif­fer­ent than three years ago, when Bit­coin only lost around a third of its val­ue with­in a few weeks and then around 80 per­cent of its val­ue with­in a year after the record. There is cur­rent­ly no com­pa­ra­ble hype the dig­i­tal cur­ren­cy among the pub­lic. The search­es for Bit­coin on Google show only a frac­tion of the inter­est that was there in Decem­ber 2017. Bit­coin opti­mists argue that this sug­gests that the cur­rent increase is due more to invest­ments by pro­fes­sion­als and insti­tu­tions than to fick­le small investors. There­fore, the cryp­tocur­ren­cy, which was so volatile in the past, should sta­bi­lize.

Sus­tained soar­ing Bit­coin breaks the $ 18,000 mark

Com­pared to many oth­er forms of invest­ment, the cryp­to mar­ket is still more volatile. The role of some anony­mous own­ers of gigan­tic Bit­coin assets, so-called whales, in price move­ments still cre­ates sus­pi­cion. But the mar­ket has devel­oped sig­nif­i­cant­ly over the past three years. For a few weeks now, the pay­ment ser­vice Pay­Pal has been accept­ing Bit­coin as its cur­ren­cy. Seri­ous plans by the major cen­tral banks for pos­si­ble offi­cial dig­i­tal cur­ren­cies have brought the blockchain issue to the cen­ter of the finan­cial world. Numer­ous large banks and finan­cial insti­tu­tions have since joined. One exam­ple is the change of heart at JPMor­gan. The boss at the time, Jamie Dimon, dis­missed Bit­coin as a “fraud” in 2017. Recent­ly, how­ev­er, ana­lysts at the bank described the dig­i­tal cur­ren­cy as a pos­si­ble invest­ment alter­na­tive to gold. British cryp­to expert Glen Good­man believes that a new price record could, even if this should be fol­lowed by anoth­er cor­rec­tion, bring anoth­er break­through for Bit­coin into the main­stream. That, he is quot­ed in the busi­ness mag­a­zine Forbes, will “cat­a­pult the dig­i­tal cur­ren­cy back into the head­lines” and gen­er­ate new inter­est from the “main­stream”.

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