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Broncos scouting report: How Denver matches up against Dolphins and predictions


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Mia­mi Dol­phins (6–3) at Den­ver Bron­cos (3–6), Sun­day, 2:05 p.m. MST, Empow­er Field at Mile High, CBS, 850 AM, 94.1 FM, 103.5 FM 

3 Things to watch

1. A turn­ing point. Should the Bron­cos win, they’ll snap Miami’s five-game win­ning streak and move to four wins head­ing into a tough two-week stretch against New Orleans and Kansas City. Attain­ing .500 on the year would be in the realm of pos­si­bil­i­ty, how­ev­er dif­fi­cult. But a defeat to Mia­mi, a 3.5‑point road favorite, would all but seal the cer­tain­ty of a fourth straight los­ing sea­son. Will red-hot rook­ie Tua Tago­v­ailoa add to Denver’s 2020 mis­ery, espe­cial­ly if Drew Lock can’t play due to a rib injury?

2. Tua Time. Speak­ing of Tago­v­ailoa, the quar­ter­back and fifth over­all pick this year is look­ing to become the first rook­ie quar­ter­back to win his first four starts since the Steel­ers’ Ben Roeth­lis­berg­er in 2004. Tago­v­ailoa didn’t throw an inter­cep­tion over the past three weeks, so it will be up to Justin Sim­mons, Bryce Calla­han and the Bron­cos sec­ondary to force the issue and put a dent in Tagovailoa’s con­fi­dence via his first career pick(s).

3. Jer­ry Jeudy takeover? After post­ing his first career 100-yard game in Week 9 in Atlanta, and then lead­ing the Bron­cos again with four catch­es for 68 yards last week in Las Vegas, the rook­ie wideout’s prim­ing to take over a game and sin­gle-hand­ed­ly lift Den­ver to vic­to­ry. Will that be this Sun­day, against a Dol­phins sec­ondary that ranks 19th at 243.8 pass­ing yards allowed per game? Jeudy has 34 catch­es for 552 yards this year, fourth among first-year wide­outs, and is one of sev­en NFL play­ers to start their career with four con­sec­u­tive games with 50-plus receiv­ing yards.

Who has the edge?

When the Dol­phins run

There’s been lots of turnover in the Mia­mi back­field with injuries to vet­er­ans Matt Brei­da and Myles Gaskin, plus the waiv­ing of Jor­dan Howard this week. But undraft­ed rook­ie Salvon Ahmed is pick­ing up the slack, and had 85 yards on 21 car­ries in his first career start last week. Mean­while, the Den­ver run defense was gashed for 203 yards by the Raiders.

Edge: Dol­phins

When the Dol­phins pass

Den­ver ranks 14th in pass defense at 231.2 yards per game, while the Mia­mi aer­i­al attack hasn’t been any­thing to write home about either, rank­ing 26th at 219.4 pass­ing yards per game. A.J. Bouye and the Bron­cos must put an empha­sis on lim­it­ing DeVante Park­er, Miami’s top wide­out.

Edge: Even

When the Bron­cos run

The Den­ver run­ning game was ane­mic last Sun­day in Las Vegas, with Melvin Gor­don held to 46 yards on 11 car­ries and Phillip Lind­say to a pal­try two yards on four car­ries. The Bron­cos have to get the run­ning game going and feed Lind­say more to take pres­sure off the quar­ter­back against Miami’s 22nd-ranked run defense.

Edge: Even

When the Bron­cos pass

In addi­tion to Jeudy, Tim Patrick’s been a reli­able weapon and is sec­ond on the team behind the rook­ie with 444 receiv­ing yards. Tight end Noah Fant (ques­tion­able due to rib injury) needs to be more of the con­sis­tent force that the Bron­cos imag­ined in his sec­ond year, while Den­ver needs bet­ter pro­tec­tion and bet­ter quar­ter­back­ing (whether by Lock, or by back­up Brett Ryp­i­en if Lock can’t play).

Edge: Bron­cos

Spe­cial teams

Mia­mi has been con­sis­tent on spe­cial teams this year, and kick­er Jason Sanders has been as good as Denver’s Bran­don McManus, as both have missed just one field goal. The Bron­cos units beyond McManus and punter Sam Mar­tin, how­ev­er, have been a dis­as­ter wait­ing to hap­pen.

Edge: Dol­phins

Post predictions

Ryan O’Halloran, beat writer: Dol­phins 24, Bron­cos 20

The Bron­cos actu­al­ly have a pro­duc­tive first half (an actu­al lead!), but Mia­mi scores 14 fourth-quar­ter points to extend Denver’s mis­ery.

Kyle New­man, beat writer: Dol­phins 28, Bron­cos 17

The Bron­cos have anoth­er slow start and the Dol­phins come out ready to play, and the result is a two-score half­time deficit that Den­ver can’t erase thanks to a cou­ple Mia­mi inter­cep­tions in the sec­ond half.

Mark Kis­zla, colum­nist: Dol­phins 27, Bron­cos 20

In Tua Tago­v­ailoa, Mia­mi appears to have found itself a young fran­chise QB. How ’bout Den­ver? Well, kin­da. Sor­ta. Maybe.

Sean Keel­er, colum­nist: Dol­phins 25, Bron­cos 23

Every­thing you want­ed the Bron­cos to be this fall, Miami’s become. Nev­er mind Tua: Mia­mi ranks among the NFL’s top 6 in turnovers forced per dri­ve (No. 6), fum­bles forced per dri­ve (No. 5) and points allowed per dri­ve (No. 6). For a Bron­cos offense that’s already beat up and press­ing, that’s … not good.

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2LvWn53xq6Q - Broncos scouting report: How Denver matches up against Dolphins and predictions

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